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81.
在对构造运动差异较大的柯坪块体和天山中部地区地震活动研究基础上,深入分析了这两个不同构造单元的中强地震活动对整体新疆地震形势的影响。不同构造环境下不同构造单元地震活动差异性很大。柯坪块体内构造运动强烈,它是新疆6级地震主要活动区之一。6级地震发生后的1年内,天山地震带是中强地震的主要响应区,在时间上具有短期预测意义。位于特殊构造环境的中天山地区地震少,地震强度低。4次5级地震后的1~3年,新疆地震活动呈明显增强趋势,中天山地区中强地震活动对周边地区中强地震活动会产生触发作用。  相似文献   
82.
The water level in Lake Van has shown alternating rises and decreases in history, causing economical, environmental and social problems over the littoral area. The water level changes were obtained to be in the order of 100 m between 18000 and 1000 B.C., in the order of 10 m between 1000 B.C. and 500 A.D. and relatively stable and fluctuating in the order of a few metres during the past 1500 years. The most recent change of the water level took place between 1987 and 1996, during which the water level increased episodically about 2 m and its altitude changed from approximately 1648.3 m to about 1650.2 m. All these changes were mainly related to climate changes. In this study, the water level changes in the lake after 1860 are compared with the seismic activity of faults lying close to the basin. Temporal correlations of seismicity with the water level changes are very persuasive and dramatic, indicating hydrogeological triggering of the earthquakes. This study shows that 14 M ≥ 5.0 earthquakes and increasing number of 4.0 ≤ M < 5.0 earthquakes accompanied or followed the dramatic (about 1 m or larger) changes of the annual mean of the water level in the lake and that there was a tendency of M ≥ 4 earthquakes to occur between November and February, during which the lake level is low within a year.  相似文献   
83.
针对川滇地区,在大量搜集前人资料和结果的基础上,建立了包括上地壳、中地壳、下地壳、上地幔等4层结构的三维有限元模型。通过反复调试,确定了其边界条件。然后计算了川滇地区背景应力场、断层蠕动产生的应力场和强震触发的应力场,以及它们的动态变化。结果表明后续地震大多发生在前面地震引发的库仑破裂应力正值区,前一地震对后续地震有一定的触发作用,强震是在较高的应力背景下成组发生的。这对判断、识别地震异常,提高地震预测水平有着很大的意义。  相似文献   
84.
Hua Wei 《中国地震研究》2006,20(4):371-384
INTRODUCTIONTheM6·2 andM6·1 earthquakes occurred successivelyin Dayao,Yunnan Province on July 21and October 16 ,2003 and bothinduced human casualty and economic loss to some extent .Adequatehistorical information reveals that ,earthquakes bigger thanM6·0 in Yunnan are distributed mainlyalong some active tectonic faults and seismic belts . Dayao and Yao an are in the Dianzhong tectonicblock andthere are noapparentfaultsthere(Su Youjing,2004) .Seismic activitylevel inthisregioniswea…  相似文献   
85.
We found a characteristic space–time pattern of the tidal triggering effect on earthquake occurrence in the subducting Philippine Sea plate beneath the locked zone of the plate interface in the Tokai region, central Japan, where a large interplate earthquake may be impending. We measured the correlation between the Earth tide and earthquake occurrence using microearthquakes that took place in the Philippine Sea plate for about two decades. For each event, we assigned the tidal phase angle at the origin time by theoretically calculating the tidal shear stress on the fault plane. Based on the distribution of the tidal phase angles, we statistically tested whether they concentrate near some particular angle or not by using Schuster's test. In this test, the result is evaluated by p-value, which represents the significance level to reject the null hypothesis that earthquakes occur randomly irrespective of the tidal phase angle. As a result of analysis, no correlation was found for the data set including all the earthquakes. However, we found a systematic pattern in the temporal variation of the tidal effect; the p-value significantly decreased preceding the occurrence of M ≥ 4.5 earthquakes, and it recovered a high level afterwards. We note that those M ≥ 4.5 earthquakes were considerably larger than the normal background seismicity in the study area. The frequency distribution of tidal phase angles in the pre-event period exhibited a peak at the phase angle where the tidal shear stress is at its maximum to accelerate the fault slip. This indicates that the observed small p-value is a physical consequence of the tidal effect. We also found a distinctive feature in the spatial distribution of p-values. The small p-values appeared just beneath the strongly coupled portion of the plate interface, as inferred from the seismicity rate change in the past few years.  相似文献   
86.
廖义樟 《气象科技》2007,35(B12):70-73,90
用常规天气图、云图和CINRAD资料,分析2005年3月22日影响华南地区一次中尺度对流风暴过程,揭示中尺度对流风暴的环流背景条件及其成因:500hPa槽前西南急流和850hPa低涡切变东移南压及低空西南急流为对流风暴生成发展提供了有利条件;边界层华南西部低涡切变系统和地面中气旋及冷空气南下影响的共同作用是此次对流风暴的触发机制。该风暴的发生发展过程是在中等偏强的垂直风切变条件下,有利于发展成组织性完好的对流风暴。CINRAD回波结构及特征有:此次中尺度强对流风暴反射率因子表征为飑线回波带,强回波区呈弓状,其后侧有弱回波通道,预示有灾害性大风;弓状强回波头部及其带上出现了中气旋;径向速度图有逆风区及风暴相对径向速度图上有辐合区出现,在弓状回波头部有气旋性辐合等特征。分析结果有助于对流风暴的探测和预警预报服务工作。  相似文献   
87.
88.
本文根据所建立的多种力源作用下地幔运动的数学模型,运用涡旋力学理论,分析了地幔速度场激发机制的动力过程,探讨了地幔和岩石圈运动间的相互关系。  相似文献   
89.
(赵根模,姚兰予,马淑芹)Thestressfieldvariationcausedbyfaultingandthepredictionforseismicrisk¥Gen-MoZHAO;Lan-YuYAOandShu-QinMA(Seismolog...  相似文献   
90.
2008年3月21日新疆于田发生Ms7.3级地震.本文通过处理、分析GPS数据,得到破裂断层北侧100 km附近的同震位移及震后形变信息.在观测区域GPS点监测到10 mm左右的同震位移,其中最大为南向14 mm,东向5 mm.同震位移呈现一致性的东南向运动特征,证实于田地震存在显著的左旋走滑分量.震后台站向西南方向运...  相似文献   
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